2024

Lofton, M.E., Moore, T.N., Woelmer, W.M., Thomas, R.Q., Carey, C.C. A modular curriculum to teach undergraduates ecological forecasting improves student and instructor confidence in their data science skills. BioScience. DOI.

Carey, C.C., Calder, R.S.D., Figueiredo, R.J., Gramacy, R.B., Lofton, M.E., Schreiber, M.E., Thomas, R.Q. 2024. A framework for developing a real-time lake phytoplankton forecasting system to support water quality management in the face of global change. Ambio. DOI.

Wander, H.L., Lewis, A.S.L., Howard, D.W., Woelmer, W.M., Brown, B.L., Lofton, M.E., Carey, C.C. 2024. Zooplankton community structure and diel migration patterns vary over hours, days, and years in the pelagic and littoral zone of a eutrophic reservoir. Journal of Plankton Research. DOI.

Wander, H.L., Thomas, R.Q., Moore, T.N., Lofton, M.E., Breef-Pilz, A., Carey, C.C. 2024. Data assimilation experiments inform monitoring needs for near-term ecological forecasts in a eutrophic reservoir. Ecosphere. DOI.

Lewis, A.S.L., Breef-Pilz, A., Howard, D.W., Lofton, M.E., Olsson, F., Wander, H.L., Wood, C.E., Schreiber, M.E., Carey, C.C. 2024. Reservoir Drawdown Highlights the Emergent Effects of Water Level Change on Reservoir Physics, Chemistry, and Biology. JGR Biogeosciences. DOI. 

2023

Meyer, M.F., Harlan, M.E., Hensley, R.T., Zhan, Q., Barbosa, C.C., Börekçi, N.S., Borelli, J.J., Bucak, T., Cramer, A.N., Feldbauer, J., Ladwig, R., Mesman, J.P., Oleksy, I.A., Pilla, R.M., Zwart, J.A., Calamita, E., Gubbins, N.J., Lofton, M.E., Maciel, D.A., Marzolf, N.S., Olsson, F., Thellman, A.N., Thomas, R.Q., Vlah, M.J. 2023. Hacking Limnology Workshops and DSOS23: Growing a Workforce for the Nexus of Data Science, Open Science, and the Aquatic Sciences. Limnology & Oceanography Bulletin. DOI.

Woelmer, W.M., Moore, T.N., Lofton, M.E., Thomas, R.Q., Carey, C.C. 2023. Embedding communication concepts in forecasting training increases students' understanding of ecological uncertainty. Ecosphere. DOI.

Woelmer, W.M., Hounshell, A.G., Lofton, M.E., Wander, H.L., Lewis, A.S.L., Scott, D., Carey, C.C. 2023. The importance of time and space in biogeochemical heterogeneity and processing along the reservoir ecosystem continuum. Aquatic Sciences. DOI.

Lewis, A.S.L., Schreiber, M.E., Niederlehner, B.R., Das, A., Hammond, N.W., Lofton, M.E., Wander, H.L., Carey, C.C. 2023. Effects of Hypoxia on Coupled Carbon and Iron Cycling Differ Between Weekly and Multiannual Timescales in Two Freshwater Reservoirs. JGR Biogeosciences. DOI.

Lofton, M.E., Howard, D.W., Thomas, R.Q., Carey, C.C. 2023. Progress and opportunities in advancing near-term forecasting of freshwater quality. Global Change Biology. DOI. 

2022

Carey, C.C., Hanson, P.C., Thomas, R.Q., Gerling, A.B., Hounshell, A.G., Lewis, A.S.L., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Wander, H.L., Woelmer, W.M., Niederlehner, B.R., Schreiber, M.E. 2022. Anoxia decreases the magnitude of the carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus sink in freshwaters. Global Change Biology. DOI.

Lofton, M.E., Howard, D.W., McClure, R.P., Wander, H.L., Woelmer, W.M., Hounshell, A.G., Lewis, A.S., Carey, C.C. Experimental thermocline deepening alters vertical distribution and community structure of phytoplankton in a four-year whole-reservoir manipulation. Freshwater Biology. DOI.

Woelmer, W.M., Thomas, R.Q., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Wander, H.L., Carey, C.C. 2022. Near-term phytoplankton forecasts reveal the effects of model time step and forecast horizon on predictability. Ecological Applications. DOI. 

Lofton, M.E., Brentrup, J.A., Beck, W.S., Zwart, J.A., Bhattacharya, R., Brighenti, L.S., Burnet, S.H., McCullough, I.M., Steele, B.G., Carey, C.C., Cottingham, K.L., Dietze, M.C., Ewing, H.A., Weathers, K.C., LaDeau, S.L. 2022. Using near-term forecasts and uncertainty partitioning to inform prediction of oligotrophic lake cyanobacterial density. Ecological Applications. DOI.

2021

McClure, R.P., Thomas, R.Q., Lofton, M.E., Woelmer, W.M., Carey, C.C. 2021. Iterative Forecasting Improves Near-Term Predictions of Methane Ebullition Rates. Frontiers in Environmental Science. DOI. 

Lewis, A.S.L., Woelmer, W.M., Wander, H.L., Howard, D.W., Smith, J., McClure, R.P., Lofton, M.E., Hammond, N.W., Corrigan, R.S., Thomas, R.Q., Carey, C.C. 2021. Increased adoption of best practices in ecological forecasting enables comparisons of forecastability. Ecological Applications. DOI.

Howard, D.W., Hounshell, A.G., Lofton, M.E., Woelmer, W.M., Hanson, P.C., Carey, C.C. 2021. Variability in fluorescent dissolved organic matter concentrations across diel to seasonal time scales is driven by water temperature and light in a eutrophic reservoir. Aquatic Sciences. DOI.

2020

Lakoba, V., Wind, L., DeVilbiss, S., Lofton, M., Bretz, K., Weinheimer, A., Moore, C., Baciocco, C., Hotchkiss, E., Hession, W. 2020. Salt dilution and flushing dynamics of an impaired agricultural-urban stream. ACS EST Water. DOI.

Hounshell, A.G., McClure, R.P., Lofton, M.E., Carey, C.C. 2020. Whole-ecosystem oxygenation experiments reveal substantially greater hypolimnetic methane concentrations in reservoirs during anoxia. Limnology & Oceanography Letters. DOI.

McClure, R.P., Schreiber, M.E., Lofton, M.E., Chen, S., Krueger, K.M., Carey, C.C. 2020. Ecosystem-scale oxygen manipulations alter terminal electron acceptor pathways in a eutrophic reservoir. Ecosystems. DOI.

Carey, C.C., Woelmer, W.M., Lofton, M.E., Figueiredo, R.J., Bookout, B.J., Corrigan, R.S., Daneshmand, V., Houshell, A.G., Howard, D.W., Lewis, A.S.L., McClure, R.P., Wander, H.L., Ward, N.K., Thomas, R.Q. 2020. Advancing lake and reservoir water quality management with near-term, iterative forecasting. Inland Waters. DOI.

Krueger, K.M., Vavrus, C., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Gantzer, P., Carey, C.C., Schreiber, M.E. 2020. Iron and manganese fluxes across the sediment-water interface in a drinking water reservoir. Water Research 182, 116003. DOI.

McClure, R.P., Lofton, M.E., Chen, S., Krueger, K.M., Little, J.C., Carey, C.C. 2020. The magnitude and drivers of methane ebullition and diffusion vary on a longitudinal gradient in a small freshwater reservoir. JGR Biogeosciences 125(3). DOI.

Lofton, M.E., Leach, T.H., Beisner, B.E., Carey, C.C. 2020. Relative importance of top-down versus bottom-up control of lake phytoplankton vertical distributions varies among fluorescence-based spectral groups. Limnology & Oceanography 65(10). DOI.

2019

Doubek, J.P., Campbell, K.C., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Carey, C.C. 2019. Hypolimnetic hypoxia increases the biomass variability and compositional variability of crustacean zooplankton communities. Water 11(10), 2179. DOI.

Carey, C.C., Ward, N.K., Farrell, K.F., Lofton, M.E., Krinos, A.K., McClure, R.P., Subratie, K.C., Figueiredo, R.J., Doubek, J.P., Hanson, P.C., Papadopoulos, P., Arzberger, P. 2019. Enhancing collaborations between computer scientists and ecologists: lessons learned and recommendations forward. Ecosphere 10(5). DOI.

Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Chen, S., Little, J.C., Carey, C.C. 2019. Whole-ecosystem experiments reveal varying responses of phytoplankton functional groups to epilimnetic mixing in a eutrophic reservoir. Water 11(2), 222. DOI.

2018

Frassl, M.A., Hamilton, D.P., Denfeld, B.A., de Eyto, E., Hampton, S.E., Keller, P.S., Sharma, S., Lewis, A.S.L., Weyhenmeyer, G.A., O’Reilly, C.M., Lofton, M.E., Catalán, N. 2018. Ten simple rules for collaboratively writing a multi-authored paper. PLOS Computational Biology 14(11): e1006508. DOI.

Doubek, J.P., Campbell, K.C., Doubek, K., Hamre, K.D., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Ward, N.K., Carey, C.C. 2018. The effects of hypolimnetic anoxia on the diel vertical migrations of freshwater crustacean zooplankton. Ecosphere 9(7). DOI.

Hamre, K.D., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Munger, Z.W., Doubek, J.P., Gerling, A.B., Schreiber, M.E., Carey, C.C. 2018. In situ fluorometry reveals a persistent, perennial hypolimnetic cyanobacterial bloom in a seasonally anoxic reservoir. Freshwater Science 37(3): 483-495. DOI.

McClure, R.P., Hamre, K.D., Niederlehner, B.R., Munger, Z.W., Chen, S., Lofton, M.E., Schreiber, M.E., Carey, C.C. 2018. Metalimnetic oxygen minima alter the vertical profiles of carbon dioxide and methane in a managed freshwater reservoir. Science of the Total Environment 636: 610-620. DOI.

Chen, S., Carey, C.C., Little, J.C., Lofton, M.E., McClure, R.P., Lei, C. 2018. Effectiveness of a bubble-plume mixing system for managing phytoplankton in lakes and reservoirs. Ecological Engineering 113: 43-51. DOI.

Carey, C.C.; McClure, R.P.; Doubek, J.P.; Lofton, M.E.; Ward, N.K.; Scott, D. 2018. Chaoborus spp. transport CH4 from the sediments to the surface waters of a eutrophic reservoir, but their contribution to water column CH4 concentrations and diffusive efflux is minor. Environ. Sci. Technol. 52(3):1165-1173. DOI.

Chen, S., Little, J.C., Carey, C.C., McClure, R.P., Lofton, M.E., Lei, C. 2018. Three-dimensional effects of artificial mixing in a shallow drinking-water reservoir. Water Resources Research 54(1). DOI.